Emptywheel announces the George Bush Last-Minute Pardon Betting Pool. Who's your money on?
It's almost unfair of me to give away the ending, but, as with "Murder on the Orient Express," the answer is--everyone.
(Oops. Retroactive spoiler alert. Sorry.)
The only question is, what about the last two men out the door? One of the unspoken truths of the 2008 campaign is that, if Obama wins, the odds of Cheney and Bush ever being called to account for their high crimes are very slim; if McCain wins the odds are zero.
My original theory, assuming that Obama wins the election, was that Bush would pardon Cheney late in the morning of January 20th, then resign, and Cheney, as the new president, would pardon Bush. (It would have been Cheney's staffers' plan; 'way too complicated for Junior.)
My new theory is that Bush will pardon Cheney sometime during the final days and then simply pardon himself, as the ultimate logical extension of the Unitary Executive Theory. After all, you can't get much more unitary than a self-pardon.